phi1=-.97 lag.max=20 plot(y=ARMAacf(ar=phi1,lag.max=lag.max),x=0:lag.max,type='h') abline(h=0,col='blue') library(TSA) data(lynx) ?lynx plot(lynx) windows() hist(lynx) hist(log(lynx)) plot(log(lynx)) arima(log(lynx),order=c(2,0,0)) # fit an AR(2) lag.max=60 phi1=1.38;phi2=-0.74 plot(y=ARMAacf(ar=c(phi1,phi2),lag.max=lag.max),x=0:lag.max,type='h') abline(h=0,col='blue') # quasi-period about 10 years # about 11.5 cycles in the data of span =114 years period=114/11.5 period