Robert V. Hogg
CLAS Alumni Fellow
Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science
University of Iowa
"Small Steps and Giant Leaps"
3:00 Refreshments in 241 Schaeffer Hall
3:30 Talk in 140 Schaeffer Hall
The first part of this talk is a history lesson after probability really started, in 1654, by a gambler, Chevalier de Mere, asking Blaise Pascal to explain certain observations that he had made about dice. After that giant leap by Pascal and his partner, Fermat, many more were to follow by: the Bernoullis, deMoivre, Bayes, Gauss and LaPlace, Galton, K. Pearson, Gosset (Student), Fisher, Neyman and E. Pearson, among others. After that, there have been contributions by many excellent statisticians and probabilists; and it is difficult now to select the giant leaps, but those by Wald, J. Savage, deFinetti, Efron, and C.R. Rao should be and will be considered in the future, say 50 to 100 years from today. Most statisticians really just "fill in the cracks" left by the great ones; that is, they take small but worthwhile steps to help complete our professional advancement. Using a few members of our present faculty, illustrations will be given.